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Population growth in Virginia outpaced the nation

From UVA Today-Population growth in Virginia outpaced the nation, with highly varied growth across localities, according to the most recent official annual population estimates for the state developed by demographers from the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service.

Virginia’s population grew by 2.3 percent, to nearly 8.2 million residents, between the 2010 census and July 1, 2012, according to the center’s estimates. During this period, the nation’s population grew by 1.7 percent.

Compared to other states, Virginia posted the 13th-highest growth rate and the sixth-largest numerical population gain.

Within Virginia, the largest population gains were concentrated in the urban centers of Northern Virginia, Richmond and Hampton Roads.

“Nearly all of the commonwealth’s population growth in the past two years occurred in metropolitan areas, with more than half of the growth between 2010 and 2012 occurring in Northern Virginia,” said demographer Rebecca Tippett, who prepared the estimates.

“Between 2000 and 2010, Virginia’s counties grew much faster than its cities,” Tippett said. “For the past two years, the average population growth in Virginia’s independent cities has matched the county growth rate, with many independent cities among the fastest-growing localities.”

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Covington, Lexington, Harrisonburg, Winchester, Charlottesville and Staunton were among the independent cities growing at a rate faster than the state since 2010.

Due to population aging and lower birth rates, 64 of Virginia’s localities experienced natural decrease (more deaths than births) between 2010 and 2012. While most localities gained sufficient population through migration to compensate for losses through natural decrease, 26 localities in Virginia had a net overall loss in population between 2010 and 2012. Eleven of these experienced both natural decrease and net out-migration. The largest population losses were in counties in the Southwest and Southside regions of the state.

The Cooper Center’s population estimates are the official figures for the commonwealth of Virginia. The estimates are based on changes since 2010 in housing stock, school enrollment, births, deaths and driver’s licenses. They are used by state and local government agencies in revenue sharing, funding allocations, planning and budgeting.

Population growth in Williamsburg, James City County, York County and Hampton Roads VA

 

  Census Count Cooper Center Estimates    
Locality April 1, 2010 Census July 1, 2010 Estimate July 1, 2011 Estimate July 1, 2012 Estimate
Chesapeake City 222,209 222,761 225,898 228,210
Gloucester County 36,858 36,902 36,987 36,976
Hampton City 137,436 137,184 137,372 138,848
Isle of Wight County 35,270 35,412 35,457 36,180
James City County 67,009 67,550 68,874 69,546
Mathews County 8,978 8,970 8,937 8,883
New Kent County 18,429 18,570 18,827 19,257
Newport News City 180,719 180,674 181,027 183,331
Norfolk City 242,803 242,956 243,985 245,803
Poquoson City 12,150 12,162 12,240 12,291
Portsmouth City 95,535 95,388 96,368 97,450
Suffolk City 84,585 85,166 85,692 86,463
Surry County 7,058 7,062 6,968 6,927
Virginia 8,001,024 8,025,514 8,096,604 8,185,867
Virginia Beach City 437,994 438,207 441,246 447,489
Williamsburg City 14,068 14,121 14,256 14,503
York County 65,464 65,695 65,973 66,428
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